Tomorrow it may rain
"You don't save a pitcher for tomorrow. Tomorrow it may rain." -Leo Durocher. A blog about sports statistics, strategy, analysis, player evaluation and economics plus whatever else I feel like ranting about. Focusing on NFL MLB and NCAA football.
Saturday 14 May 2011
Movement of pointshare ratings to www.pointshare.webs.com
I am now using http://www.pointshare.webs.com/ to list the ratings of the pointsharr system i have also added NFL NBA NHL as well as college football and basketball.
Tuesday 11 January 2011
Final 2010 Pointshare College Football Rankings
Oregon finished number one despite their loss to Auburn. Although if Auburn had won by 12 points rather than 3 they would have been the number one. Who knows if Dyer's knee had touched the ground Oregon could have come back and won in OT. So having them 4 points better than Auburn is not outrageous.
In the FCS Delaware stayed number one despite losing to Eastern Washington in the final. James Madison came second due mainly to their defeat of Virginia Tech (No.13 in the FBS).
FBS rankings
Rank Team Pointspread Equivalent
1 Oregon 70.1
2 Auburn 66.1
3 Boise St 64.1
4 Stanford 63.3
5 TCU 61.7
6 Alabama 61.7
7 Ohio State 58.9
8 Arkansas 58.4
9 LSU 57.9
10 Wisconsin 57.1
11 Nevada 57.1
12 South Carolina 55.9
13 Virginia Tech 55.9
14 Oklahoma 54.9
15 Arizona St 53.5
16 Missouri 53.1
17 Nebraska 53.0
18 Florida St 52.7
19 Oklahoma St 52.7
20 Southern Cal 52.0
21 Iowa 51.9
22 North Carolina St 51.5
23 Mississippi St 51.1
24 Oregon St 51.0
25 California 50.8
26 Clemson 50.7
27 Texas A&M 50.2
28 San Diego St 50.2
29 West Virginia 49.9
30 Notre Dame 48.7
31 Michigan St 48.5
32 Arizona 48.1
33 Pittsburgh 47.9
34 Miami FL 47.9
35 Georgia 47.8
36 Florida 47.6
37 Air Force 47.3
38 Kentucky 46.5
39 North Carolina 45.8
40 Washington 45.5
41 Central Florida 45.4
42 Utah 44.8
43 Illinois 44.7
44 Maryland 44.6
45 Hawai`i 44.4
46 Tennessee 43.6
47 Mississippi 43.5
48 Tulsa 43.5
49 Navy 43.1
50 Boston College 42.8
51 Northern Illinois 42.6
52 South Florida 42.2
53 Louisville 41.7
54 Georgia Tech 41.4
55 Texas 41.2
56 Kansas St 41.1
57 Washington St 40.8
58 Connecticut 40.5
59 Southern Miss 40.3
60 Texas Tech 40.1
61 Syracuse 40.0
62 Brigham Young 39.6
63 Fresno St 39.3
64 Michigan 38.8
65 Iowa St 38.6
66 SMU 38.5
67 Penn State 38.5
68 Cincinnati 38.1
69 UCLA 38.0
70 Virginia 37.3
71 Troy 37.2
72 Colorado 37.0
73 Minnesota 36.3
74 Northwestern 36.2
75 East Carolina 36.2
76 Temple 36.1
77 Florida Int'l 35.0
78 Baylor 34.9
79 Utah St 34.6
80 Alabama-Birmingham 34.6
81 Houston 34.2
82 Duke 34.0
83 Army 33.8
84 Purdue 33.7
85 Rutgers 32.9
86 Miami OH 32.5
87 Louisiana Tech 32.4
88 Ohio U. 32.4
89 Arkansas St 32.4
90 Toledo 31.4
91 Indiana 31.2
92 Idaho 31.1
93 UTEP 30.0
94 Vanderbilt 29.8
95 Central Michigan 29.8
96 Marshall 29.5
97 Western Michigan 29.2
98 San José St 28.6
99 Wyoming 28.4
100 Wake Forest 28.2
101 Kent St 27.5
102 Kansas 27.4
103 Colorado St 26.8
104 Louisiana-Monroe 26.7
105 Bowling Green 26.3
106 Florida Atlantic 26.1
107 Rice 25.9
108 Middle Tennessee St 25.6
109 North Texas 24.0
110 Western Kentucky 24.0
111 Louisiana-Lafayette 22.9
112 Tulane 22.6
113 Ball St 22.4
114 UNLV 21.8
115 Buffalo 19.9
116 New Mexico 17.6
117 New Mexico St 15.8
118 Eastern Michigan 15.8
119 Memphis 14.5
120 Akron 12.1
FCS rankings
Rank Team pointspread equivalent
1 Delaware 45.3
2 James Madison 42.6
3 Villanova 42.1
4 William & Mary 41.6
5 New Hampshire 40.1
6 Georgia Southern 36.8
7 Eastern Washington 36.8
8 Massachusetts 35.1
9 Wofford 33.7
10 Montana St 33.5
11 Appalachian St 32.7
12 Western Illinois 32.2
13 North Dakota St 32.1
14 Northern Arizona 32.0
15 Sacramento St 31.7
16 Rhode Island 31.7
17 Jacksonville St 30.9
18 Pennsylvania 30.6
19 Chattanooga 30.4
20 South Dakota St 30.2
21 Southern Utah 29.7
22 Richmond 29.5
23 Liberty 29.3
24 Maine 29.3
25 Furman 29.0
26 Montana 28.8
27 Elon 28.5
28 Northern Iowa 27.6
29 Eastern Kentucky 26.2
30 SE Missouri St 25.9
31 Stephen F. Austin 25.5
32 Southern Illinois 25.1
33 Weber St 25.1
34 Missouri St 24.7
35 Cal Poly SLO 24.6
36 Lehigh 24.1
37 McNeese St 23.9
38 Old Dominion 23.8
39 Robert Morris 23.5
40 Murray St 23.4
41 North Dakota 23.3
42 South Dakota 23.3
43 Brown 23.1
44 Youngstown St 22.5
45 Harvard 22.2
46 Indiana St 22.2
47 Samford 22.0
48 UC-Davis 21.5
49 Dayton 21.3
50 Illinois St 20.2
51 Stony Brook 20.1
52 Coastal Carolina 20.0
53 Jacksonville FL 19.9
54 Northern Colorado 19.8
55 Central Arkansas 19.2
56 Tennessee Tech 19.0
57 Yale 18.4
58 Sam Houston St 18.2
59 Towson 18.0
60 Bryant 18.0
61 Texas St-San Marcos 18.0
62 Dartmouth 17.9
63 Albany NY 17.7
64 Tennessee-Martin 17.6
65 Duquesne 17.5
66 Grambling St 17.4
67 Fordham 17.2
68 Monmouth NJ 17.1
69 Central Conn St 16.8
70 Portland St 16.6
71 Jackson St 16.5
72 SE Louisiana St 16.1
73 Columbia 15.1
74 Colgate 14.4
75 Holy Cross 14.3
76 Bethune-Cookman 14.2
77 Lafayette 13.7
78 Texas Southern 13.5
79 Drake 13.1
80 Northwestern St 12.7
81 Eastern Illinois 12.5
82 Sacred Heart 12.5
83 Lamar 11.9
84 Tennessee St 11.7
85 Wagner 11.7
86 South Carolina St 11.7
87 Idaho St 11.6
88 Prairie View A&M 11.2
89 The Citadel 9.6
90 Georgetown DC 9.2
91 Alcorn St 9.0
92 Western Carolina 8.5
93 Gardner-Webb 8.5
94 San Diego 8.4
95 Nicholls St 8.2
96 Charleston Southern 6.6
97 Florida A&M 6.5
98 Alabama St 6.3
99 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 6.3
100 Princeton 6.2
101 d2 5.9
102 Hampton 5.2
103 St Francis PA 4.9
104 Campbell 4.8
105 VMI 4.5
106 Cornell NY 4.2
107 Presbyterian 4.1
108 Butler 4.0
109 Austin Peay 3.4
110 Morehead St 2.7
111 Marist 2.5
112 North Carolina Central 2.5
113 Norfolk St 2.5
114 Alabama A&M 2.0
115 Bucknell 1.4
116 Southern U. - 2.4
117 Morgan St - 2.4
118 Delaware St - 2.5
119 Davidson - 5.5
120 Howard - 8.2
121 North Carolina A&T - 8.4
122 Valparaiso - 15.0
123 Savannah St - 17.9
124 Mississippi Valley St - 19.5
In the FCS Delaware stayed number one despite losing to Eastern Washington in the final. James Madison came second due mainly to their defeat of Virginia Tech (No.13 in the FBS).
FBS rankings
Rank Team Pointspread Equivalent
1 Oregon 70.1
2 Auburn 66.1
3 Boise St 64.1
4 Stanford 63.3
5 TCU 61.7
6 Alabama 61.7
7 Ohio State 58.9
8 Arkansas 58.4
9 LSU 57.9
10 Wisconsin 57.1
11 Nevada 57.1
12 South Carolina 55.9
13 Virginia Tech 55.9
14 Oklahoma 54.9
15 Arizona St 53.5
16 Missouri 53.1
17 Nebraska 53.0
18 Florida St 52.7
19 Oklahoma St 52.7
20 Southern Cal 52.0
21 Iowa 51.9
22 North Carolina St 51.5
23 Mississippi St 51.1
24 Oregon St 51.0
25 California 50.8
26 Clemson 50.7
27 Texas A&M 50.2
28 San Diego St 50.2
29 West Virginia 49.9
30 Notre Dame 48.7
31 Michigan St 48.5
32 Arizona 48.1
33 Pittsburgh 47.9
34 Miami FL 47.9
35 Georgia 47.8
36 Florida 47.6
37 Air Force 47.3
38 Kentucky 46.5
39 North Carolina 45.8
40 Washington 45.5
41 Central Florida 45.4
42 Utah 44.8
43 Illinois 44.7
44 Maryland 44.6
45 Hawai`i 44.4
46 Tennessee 43.6
47 Mississippi 43.5
48 Tulsa 43.5
49 Navy 43.1
50 Boston College 42.8
51 Northern Illinois 42.6
52 South Florida 42.2
53 Louisville 41.7
54 Georgia Tech 41.4
55 Texas 41.2
56 Kansas St 41.1
57 Washington St 40.8
58 Connecticut 40.5
59 Southern Miss 40.3
60 Texas Tech 40.1
61 Syracuse 40.0
62 Brigham Young 39.6
63 Fresno St 39.3
64 Michigan 38.8
65 Iowa St 38.6
66 SMU 38.5
67 Penn State 38.5
68 Cincinnati 38.1
69 UCLA 38.0
70 Virginia 37.3
71 Troy 37.2
72 Colorado 37.0
73 Minnesota 36.3
74 Northwestern 36.2
75 East Carolina 36.2
76 Temple 36.1
77 Florida Int'l 35.0
78 Baylor 34.9
79 Utah St 34.6
80 Alabama-Birmingham 34.6
81 Houston 34.2
82 Duke 34.0
83 Army 33.8
84 Purdue 33.7
85 Rutgers 32.9
86 Miami OH 32.5
87 Louisiana Tech 32.4
88 Ohio U. 32.4
89 Arkansas St 32.4
90 Toledo 31.4
91 Indiana 31.2
92 Idaho 31.1
93 UTEP 30.0
94 Vanderbilt 29.8
95 Central Michigan 29.8
96 Marshall 29.5
97 Western Michigan 29.2
98 San José St 28.6
99 Wyoming 28.4
100 Wake Forest 28.2
101 Kent St 27.5
102 Kansas 27.4
103 Colorado St 26.8
104 Louisiana-Monroe 26.7
105 Bowling Green 26.3
106 Florida Atlantic 26.1
107 Rice 25.9
108 Middle Tennessee St 25.6
109 North Texas 24.0
110 Western Kentucky 24.0
111 Louisiana-Lafayette 22.9
112 Tulane 22.6
113 Ball St 22.4
114 UNLV 21.8
115 Buffalo 19.9
116 New Mexico 17.6
117 New Mexico St 15.8
118 Eastern Michigan 15.8
119 Memphis 14.5
120 Akron 12.1
FCS rankings
Rank Team pointspread equivalent
1 Delaware 45.3
2 James Madison 42.6
3 Villanova 42.1
4 William & Mary 41.6
5 New Hampshire 40.1
6 Georgia Southern 36.8
7 Eastern Washington 36.8
8 Massachusetts 35.1
9 Wofford 33.7
10 Montana St 33.5
11 Appalachian St 32.7
12 Western Illinois 32.2
13 North Dakota St 32.1
14 Northern Arizona 32.0
15 Sacramento St 31.7
16 Rhode Island 31.7
17 Jacksonville St 30.9
18 Pennsylvania 30.6
19 Chattanooga 30.4
20 South Dakota St 30.2
21 Southern Utah 29.7
22 Richmond 29.5
23 Liberty 29.3
24 Maine 29.3
25 Furman 29.0
26 Montana 28.8
27 Elon 28.5
28 Northern Iowa 27.6
29 Eastern Kentucky 26.2
30 SE Missouri St 25.9
31 Stephen F. Austin 25.5
32 Southern Illinois 25.1
33 Weber St 25.1
34 Missouri St 24.7
35 Cal Poly SLO 24.6
36 Lehigh 24.1
37 McNeese St 23.9
38 Old Dominion 23.8
39 Robert Morris 23.5
40 Murray St 23.4
41 North Dakota 23.3
42 South Dakota 23.3
43 Brown 23.1
44 Youngstown St 22.5
45 Harvard 22.2
46 Indiana St 22.2
47 Samford 22.0
48 UC-Davis 21.5
49 Dayton 21.3
50 Illinois St 20.2
51 Stony Brook 20.1
52 Coastal Carolina 20.0
53 Jacksonville FL 19.9
54 Northern Colorado 19.8
55 Central Arkansas 19.2
56 Tennessee Tech 19.0
57 Yale 18.4
58 Sam Houston St 18.2
59 Towson 18.0
60 Bryant 18.0
61 Texas St-San Marcos 18.0
62 Dartmouth 17.9
63 Albany NY 17.7
64 Tennessee-Martin 17.6
65 Duquesne 17.5
66 Grambling St 17.4
67 Fordham 17.2
68 Monmouth NJ 17.1
69 Central Conn St 16.8
70 Portland St 16.6
71 Jackson St 16.5
72 SE Louisiana St 16.1
73 Columbia 15.1
74 Colgate 14.4
75 Holy Cross 14.3
76 Bethune-Cookman 14.2
77 Lafayette 13.7
78 Texas Southern 13.5
79 Drake 13.1
80 Northwestern St 12.7
81 Eastern Illinois 12.5
82 Sacred Heart 12.5
83 Lamar 11.9
84 Tennessee St 11.7
85 Wagner 11.7
86 South Carolina St 11.7
87 Idaho St 11.6
88 Prairie View A&M 11.2
89 The Citadel 9.6
90 Georgetown DC 9.2
91 Alcorn St 9.0
92 Western Carolina 8.5
93 Gardner-Webb 8.5
94 San Diego 8.4
95 Nicholls St 8.2
96 Charleston Southern 6.6
97 Florida A&M 6.5
98 Alabama St 6.3
99 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 6.3
100 Princeton 6.2
101 d2 5.9
102 Hampton 5.2
103 St Francis PA 4.9
104 Campbell 4.8
105 VMI 4.5
106 Cornell NY 4.2
107 Presbyterian 4.1
108 Butler 4.0
109 Austin Peay 3.4
110 Morehead St 2.7
111 Marist 2.5
112 North Carolina Central 2.5
113 Norfolk St 2.5
114 Alabama A&M 2.0
115 Bucknell 1.4
116 Southern U. - 2.4
117 Morgan St - 2.4
118 Delaware St - 2.5
119 Davidson - 5.5
120 Howard - 8.2
121 North Carolina A&T - 8.4
122 Valparaiso - 15.0
123 Savannah St - 17.9
124 Mississippi Valley St - 19.5
Final 2010 NoahChain College football rankings
Congratulations to Auburn who won the BCS championship and finished top of the NoahChain rankings.
1 Auburn 0.9465
2 Stanford 0.9414
3 Oregon 0.9405
4 Ohio state 0.9292
5 Arkansas 0.9159
6 Wisconsin 0.9063
7 TCU 0.9054
8 Alabama 0.8963
9 LSU 0.8955
10 Boise st 0.8883
11 Oklahoma 0.8871
12 Oklahoma st 0.8669
13 Texas A&M 0.8642
14 Michigan st 0.8465
15 Mississippi st 0.8311
16 Nebraska 0.8201
17 Nevada 0.8194
18 Virginia Tech 0.8163
19 Missouri 0.8076
20 South Carolina 0.7844
21 Utah 0.7604
22 Iowa 0.7415
23 Southern Cal 0.7415
24 Arizona 0.7381
25 Washington 0.7306
26 Florida 0.7204
27 Florida st 0.7181
28 Baylor 0.7147
29 Air Force 0.7057
30 Texas Tech 0.6960
31 Michigan 0.6917
32 Notre Dame 0.6808
33 Arizona St 0.6738
34 Oregon st 0.6653
35 North Carolina St 0.6418
36 Penn state 0.6295
37 North Carolina 0.6130
38 Hawai`i 0.6073
39 California 0.6048
40 Texas 0.6020
41 Northwestern 0.5952
42 Maryland 0.5933
43 Miami FL 0.5873
44 Navy 0.5771
45 Kansas st 0.5666
46 West Virginia 0.5592
47 Iowa st 0.5556
48 Georgia 0.5534
49 Tulsa 0.5533
50 Colorado 0.5533
51 Illinois 0.5520
52 Clemson 0.5479
53 UCLA 0.5478
54 San Diego st 0.5424
55 Central Florida 0.5410
56 Brigham Young 0.5361
57 Fresno st 0.5338
58 Boston College 0.5273
59 Pittsburgh 0.5202
60 Tennessee 0.5158
61 Kentucky 0.5092
62 Syracuse 0.4782
63 Minnesota 0.4679
64 Connecticut 0.4675
65 Northern Illinois 0.4532
66 Mississippi 0.4517
67 East Carolina 0.4481
68 South Florida 0.4425
69 SMU 0.4321
70 Georgia Tech 0.4294
71 Louisville 0.3903
72 Southern Miss 0.3888
73 Purdue 0.3765
74 Indiana 0.3763
75 Temple 0.3704
76 Kansas 0.3652
77 Miami OH 0.3377
78 Washington st 0.3294
79 Houston 0.3288
80 Virginia 0.3157
81 Duke 0.3095
82 Cincinnati 0.3051
83 Utah st 0.3045
84 Army 0.2916
85 Rice 0.2895
86 Idaho 0.2784
87 Toledo 0.2690
88 Rutgers 0.2625
89 Louisiana Tech 0.2553
90 Wake Forest 0.2486
91 Vanderbilt 0.2385
92 UTEP 0.2355
93 Wyoming 0.2322
94 Marshall 0.2321
95 Troy 0.2318
96 Tulane 0.2265
97 Ohio U. 0.2202
98 Florida Int'l 0.2084
99 Alabama-Birmingham 0.2065
100 Colorado st 0.2059
101 UNLV 0.2023
102 Kent st 0.1718
103 Middle Tennessee St 0.1613
104 Western Michigan 0.1598
105 Louisiana-Monroe 0.1418
106 Arkansas St 0.1307
107 Florida Atlantic 0.1275
108 San José St 0.1184
109 aa 0.1171
110 New Mexico 0.1151
111 New Mexico st 0.1119
112 Memphis 0.1007
113 North Texas 0.0929
114 Louisiana-Lafayette 0.0888
115 Bowling Green 0.0742
116 Central Michigan 0.0725
117 Ball St 0.0714
118 Western Kentucky 0.0649
119 Eastern Michigan 0.0544
120 Buffalo 0.0447
121 Akron 0.0424
1 Auburn 0.9465
2 Stanford 0.9414
3 Oregon 0.9405
4 Ohio state 0.9292
5 Arkansas 0.9159
6 Wisconsin 0.9063
7 TCU 0.9054
8 Alabama 0.8963
9 LSU 0.8955
10 Boise st 0.8883
11 Oklahoma 0.8871
12 Oklahoma st 0.8669
13 Texas A&M 0.8642
14 Michigan st 0.8465
15 Mississippi st 0.8311
16 Nebraska 0.8201
17 Nevada 0.8194
18 Virginia Tech 0.8163
19 Missouri 0.8076
20 South Carolina 0.7844
21 Utah 0.7604
22 Iowa 0.7415
23 Southern Cal 0.7415
24 Arizona 0.7381
25 Washington 0.7306
26 Florida 0.7204
27 Florida st 0.7181
28 Baylor 0.7147
29 Air Force 0.7057
30 Texas Tech 0.6960
31 Michigan 0.6917
32 Notre Dame 0.6808
33 Arizona St 0.6738
34 Oregon st 0.6653
35 North Carolina St 0.6418
36 Penn state 0.6295
37 North Carolina 0.6130
38 Hawai`i 0.6073
39 California 0.6048
40 Texas 0.6020
41 Northwestern 0.5952
42 Maryland 0.5933
43 Miami FL 0.5873
44 Navy 0.5771
45 Kansas st 0.5666
46 West Virginia 0.5592
47 Iowa st 0.5556
48 Georgia 0.5534
49 Tulsa 0.5533
50 Colorado 0.5533
51 Illinois 0.5520
52 Clemson 0.5479
53 UCLA 0.5478
54 San Diego st 0.5424
55 Central Florida 0.5410
56 Brigham Young 0.5361
57 Fresno st 0.5338
58 Boston College 0.5273
59 Pittsburgh 0.5202
60 Tennessee 0.5158
61 Kentucky 0.5092
62 Syracuse 0.4782
63 Minnesota 0.4679
64 Connecticut 0.4675
65 Northern Illinois 0.4532
66 Mississippi 0.4517
67 East Carolina 0.4481
68 South Florida 0.4425
69 SMU 0.4321
70 Georgia Tech 0.4294
71 Louisville 0.3903
72 Southern Miss 0.3888
73 Purdue 0.3765
74 Indiana 0.3763
75 Temple 0.3704
76 Kansas 0.3652
77 Miami OH 0.3377
78 Washington st 0.3294
79 Houston 0.3288
80 Virginia 0.3157
81 Duke 0.3095
82 Cincinnati 0.3051
83 Utah st 0.3045
84 Army 0.2916
85 Rice 0.2895
86 Idaho 0.2784
87 Toledo 0.2690
88 Rutgers 0.2625
89 Louisiana Tech 0.2553
90 Wake Forest 0.2486
91 Vanderbilt 0.2385
92 UTEP 0.2355
93 Wyoming 0.2322
94 Marshall 0.2321
95 Troy 0.2318
96 Tulane 0.2265
97 Ohio U. 0.2202
98 Florida Int'l 0.2084
99 Alabama-Birmingham 0.2065
100 Colorado st 0.2059
101 UNLV 0.2023
102 Kent st 0.1718
103 Middle Tennessee St 0.1613
104 Western Michigan 0.1598
105 Louisiana-Monroe 0.1418
106 Arkansas St 0.1307
107 Florida Atlantic 0.1275
108 San José St 0.1184
109 aa 0.1171
110 New Mexico 0.1151
111 New Mexico st 0.1119
112 Memphis 0.1007
113 North Texas 0.0929
114 Louisiana-Lafayette 0.0888
115 Bowling Green 0.0742
116 Central Michigan 0.0725
117 Ball St 0.0714
118 Western Kentucky 0.0649
119 Eastern Michigan 0.0544
120 Buffalo 0.0447
121 Akron 0.0424
Friday 7 January 2011
NFL power ratings and wildcard predictions
Wildcard predictions
New Orleans over Settle by 7.5
Indy vs Jets is a pick
Ravens by 4 over KC
GB over Philly by 2.5
Regular season final power ratings
HFA 2.32
Rank Team Pointspread Equivalent
1 New England Patriots 51.43
2 Green Bay Packers 48.48
3 Pittsburgh Steelers 47.63
4 Baltimore Ravens 46.87
5 New York Jets 46.18
6 Atlanta Falcons 45.58
7 San Diego Chargers 43.84
8 Indianapolis Colts 43.57
9 Chicago Bears 43.57
10 Philadelphia Eagles 43.34
11 New Orleans Saints 43.18
12 Detroit Lions 41.15
13 New York Giants 41.08
14 Tennessee Titans 40.62
15 Cleveland Browns 40.58
16 Kansas City Chiefs 40.44
17 Miami Dolphins 40.32
18 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40.19
19 Oakland Raiders 39.42
20 Houston Texans 39.37
21 Dallas Cowboys 39.22
22 Minnesota Vikings 39.21
23 Cincinnati Bengals 38.92
24 Washington Redskins 38.45
25 Jacksonville Jaguars 37.37
26 Buffalo Bills 36.80
27 St. Louis Rams 35.61
28 San Francisco 49ers 35.20
29 Denver Broncos 34.64
30 Seattle Seahawks 33.27
31 Arizona Cardinals 31.24
32 Carolina Panthers 27.88
New Orleans over Settle by 7.5
Indy vs Jets is a pick
Ravens by 4 over KC
GB over Philly by 2.5
Regular season final power ratings
HFA 2.32
Rank Team Pointspread Equivalent
1 New England Patriots 51.43
2 Green Bay Packers 48.48
3 Pittsburgh Steelers 47.63
4 Baltimore Ravens 46.87
5 New York Jets 46.18
6 Atlanta Falcons 45.58
7 San Diego Chargers 43.84
8 Indianapolis Colts 43.57
9 Chicago Bears 43.57
10 Philadelphia Eagles 43.34
11 New Orleans Saints 43.18
12 Detroit Lions 41.15
13 New York Giants 41.08
14 Tennessee Titans 40.62
15 Cleveland Browns 40.58
16 Kansas City Chiefs 40.44
17 Miami Dolphins 40.32
18 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40.19
19 Oakland Raiders 39.42
20 Houston Texans 39.37
21 Dallas Cowboys 39.22
22 Minnesota Vikings 39.21
23 Cincinnati Bengals 38.92
24 Washington Redskins 38.45
25 Jacksonville Jaguars 37.37
26 Buffalo Bills 36.80
27 St. Louis Rams 35.61
28 San Francisco 49ers 35.20
29 Denver Broncos 34.64
30 Seattle Seahawks 33.27
31 Arizona Cardinals 31.24
32 Carolina Panthers 27.88
Saturday 18 December 2010
Bowl predictions
Using pointshare and Noahchain here are my picks in the espn bowl mania competition. I am also in the fox sports and Solid verbal pointspread pickem competitions using the pointshare pointspread equivalent to make the picks agaisnt the spread.
Pointshare
Confidence Pick Predicted winning margin
35 Boise St 19.2
34 Nevada 19
33 Oklahoma 12.9
32 Oregon 11.7
31 Nebraska 10.8
30 Brigham Young 9.3
29 Clemson 8.9
28 Mississippi St 8.1
27 Hawai`i 8
26 Alabama 7.9
25 Illinois 7.5
24 Maryland 7.4
23 TCU 7.3
22 Florida 6.4
21 San Diego St 6.4
20 Miami oh 5.9
19 South Carolina 5.7
18 Air Force 5.4
17 SMU 4.6
16 Stanford 4.6
15 Georgia 4
14 Texas Tech 3.8
13 Florida Int'l 3
12 LSU 2.8
11 Missouri 2.5
10 Louisville 2.4
9 North Carolina 2.4
8 Kansas St 2.3
7 West Virginia 2
6 Pittsburgh 1
5 Fresno St 0.8
4 Miami fl 0.5
3 Oklahoma St 0.4
2 Troy 0.4
1 Ohio State 0.1
Noah Chain
Confidence Pick
35 Oklahoma
34 Brigham Young
33 Kansas St
32 Nevada
31 Air Force
30 Toledo
29 Miami oh
28 Baylor
27 Missouri
26 Texas Tech
25 Oklahoma St
24 Maryland
23 Kentucky
22 SMU
21 Stanford
20 Nebraska
19 Ohio U
18 Boise St
17 Clemson
16 Notre Dame
15 Mississippi St
14 South Carolina
13 Fresno St
12 Hawai`i
11 Florida
10 Arkansas
9 Alabama
8 Southern Miss
7 North Carolina St
6 Texas A&M
5 TCU
4 Tennessee
3 Navy
2 Georgia
1 Oregon
Pointshare
Confidence Pick Predicted winning margin
35 Boise St 19.2
34 Nevada 19
33 Oklahoma 12.9
32 Oregon 11.7
31 Nebraska 10.8
30 Brigham Young 9.3
29 Clemson 8.9
28 Mississippi St 8.1
27 Hawai`i 8
26 Alabama 7.9
25 Illinois 7.5
24 Maryland 7.4
23 TCU 7.3
22 Florida 6.4
21 San Diego St 6.4
20 Miami oh 5.9
19 South Carolina 5.7
18 Air Force 5.4
17 SMU 4.6
16 Stanford 4.6
15 Georgia 4
14 Texas Tech 3.8
13 Florida Int'l 3
12 LSU 2.8
11 Missouri 2.5
10 Louisville 2.4
9 North Carolina 2.4
8 Kansas St 2.3
7 West Virginia 2
6 Pittsburgh 1
5 Fresno St 0.8
4 Miami fl 0.5
3 Oklahoma St 0.4
2 Troy 0.4
1 Ohio State 0.1
Noah Chain
Confidence Pick
35 Oklahoma
34 Brigham Young
33 Kansas St
32 Nevada
31 Air Force
30 Toledo
29 Miami oh
28 Baylor
27 Missouri
26 Texas Tech
25 Oklahoma St
24 Maryland
23 Kentucky
22 SMU
21 Stanford
20 Nebraska
19 Ohio U
18 Boise St
17 Clemson
16 Notre Dame
15 Mississippi St
14 South Carolina
13 Fresno St
12 Hawai`i
11 Florida
10 Arkansas
9 Alabama
8 Southern Miss
7 North Carolina St
6 Texas A&M
5 TCU
4 Tennessee
3 Navy
2 Georgia
1 Oregon
Week 14 NFL rankings using pointshare
THis includes the Week 15 Thursday game between the 49ers and Chargers.
Injuries and momentum are not taken into account only the results throughout the season.
HFA is 2.1 points
Rank Team Pointspread Equivalent
1 New England Patriots 50.1
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 47.3
3 Green Bay Packers 47.0
4 Baltimore Ravens 46.4
5 Atlanta Falcons 45.7
6 San Diego Chargers 45.6
7 New York Jets 44.8
8 Philadelphia Eagles 44.7
9 Indianapolis Colts 43.7
10 New Orleans Saints 43.4
11 New York Giants 43.1
12 Chicago Bears 42.3
13 Miami Dolphins 41.9
14 Cleveland Browns 41.9
15 Tennessee Titans 41.9
16 Kansas City Chiefs 41.0
17 Houston Texans 39.9
18 Detroit Lions 39.6
19 Jacksonville Jaguars 39.5
20 Dallas Cowboys 39.3
21 Oakland Raiders 39.1
22 Minnesota Vikings 38.7
23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38.6
24 Washington Redskins 38.3
25 Buffalo Bills 37.6
26 St. Louis Rams 37.2
27 Cincinnati Bengals 37.0
28 Denver Broncos 35.4
29 San Francisco 49ers 35.4
30 Seattle Seahawks 34.5
31 Arizona Cardinals 32.3
32 Carolina Panthers 28.5
Injuries and momentum are not taken into account only the results throughout the season.
HFA is 2.1 points
Rank Team Pointspread Equivalent
1 New England Patriots 50.1
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 47.3
3 Green Bay Packers 47.0
4 Baltimore Ravens 46.4
5 Atlanta Falcons 45.7
6 San Diego Chargers 45.6
7 New York Jets 44.8
8 Philadelphia Eagles 44.7
9 Indianapolis Colts 43.7
10 New Orleans Saints 43.4
11 New York Giants 43.1
12 Chicago Bears 42.3
13 Miami Dolphins 41.9
14 Cleveland Browns 41.9
15 Tennessee Titans 41.9
16 Kansas City Chiefs 41.0
17 Houston Texans 39.9
18 Detroit Lions 39.6
19 Jacksonville Jaguars 39.5
20 Dallas Cowboys 39.3
21 Oakland Raiders 39.1
22 Minnesota Vikings 38.7
23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38.6
24 Washington Redskins 38.3
25 Buffalo Bills 37.6
26 St. Louis Rams 37.2
27 Cincinnati Bengals 37.0
28 Denver Broncos 35.4
29 San Francisco 49ers 35.4
30 Seattle Seahawks 34.5
31 Arizona Cardinals 32.3
32 Carolina Panthers 28.5
Sunday 5 December 2010
Week 14 Pointshare
Here they are Oregon are a clear number one but Auburn's big victory over South Carolina hasn't improved it's ranking by much and it is only in 5th place around 11.5 points behind Oregon.
With HFA at 3.1 Navy are 7 point favourites over army next week accoridng to this system.
Rank Team Pointspread Equivalent
1 Oregon 72.9
2 Boise St 64.8
3 TCU 62.9
4 Stanford 62.1
5 Auburn 61.2
6 Nevada 58.4
7 Alabama 57.9
8 Virginia Tech 57.5
9 Ohio State 57.0
10 Arkansas 56.9
11 Wisconsin 55.6
12 South Carolina 54.9
13 Nebraska 54.6
14 LSU 54.1
15 Arizona St 53.9
16 Oklahoma 53.7
17 Missouri 53.6
18 California 52.6
19 Southern Cal 52.5
20 Oregon St 52.1
21 Texas A&M 51.3
22 Iowa 51.1
23 Oklahoma St 50.6
24 Arizona 50.2
25 Michigan St 50.0
26 San Diego St 49.9
27 West Virginia 49.8
28 Florida St 49.2
29 Clemson 48.0
30 North Carolina St 47.8
31 Mississippi St 47.6
32 Miami FL 47.4
33 Hawai`i 47.4
34 Notre Dame 46.9
35 Air Force 46.7
36 Georgia 46.4
37 Pittsburgh 45.7
38 Utah 45.6
39 Florida 45.0
40 Kentucky 44.7
41 Illinois 43.8
42 Washington 43.8
43 Navy 43.5
44 North Carolina 43.5
45 Central Florida 42.4
46 Maryland 42.2
47 Texas 41.7
48 Georgia Tech 41.3
49 Washington St 41.2
50 Tennessee 41.1
51 Kansas St 41.1
52 Fresno St 41.0
53 Mississippi 41.0
54 Louisville 40.9
55 Connecticut 40.8
56 Northern Illinois 40.2
57 Texas Tech 40.0
58 Michigan 39.5
59 Tulsa 39.4
60 Boston College 39.4
61 South Florida 39.1
62 Brigham Young 38.9
63 Syracuse 38.8
64 Iowa St 38.7
65 Penn State 38.6
66 UCLA 38.6
67 Southern Miss 38.5
68 SMU 38.1
69 Colorado 37.7
70 Virginia 37.0
71 Cincinnati 36.6
72 Temple 36.4
73 Baylor 36.3
74 Northwestern 36.2
75 Minnesota 35.6
76 East Carolina 34.8
77 Troy 34.5
78 Utah St 34.4
79 Florida Int'l 34.3
80 Ohio U. 34.1
81 Purdue 33.7
82 Army 33.5
83 Duke 33.2
84 Louisiana Tech 32.8
85 Houston 32.7
86 Alabama-Birmingham 32.1
87 Rutgers 31.6
88 Idaho 31.5
89 Toledo 31.3
90 Miami OH 31.2
91 Arkansas St 30.6
92 Indiana 30.6
93 Central Michigan 30.0
94 UTEP 29.6
95 Marshall 28.8
96 Western Michigan 28.4
97 San José St 28.0
98 Vanderbilt 28.0
99 Wyoming 27.8
100 Kansas 27.7
101 Wake Forest 27.3
102 Kent St 27.0
103 Colorado St 26.7
104 Florida Atlantic 25.7
105 Middle Tennessee St 25.3
106 Bowling Green 25.0
107 Louisiana-Monroe 24.9
108 Rice 24.5
109 North Texas 22.7
110 Western Kentucky 22.3
111 Ball St 22.2
112 UNLV 21.8
113 Louisiana-Lafayette 21.6
114 Tulane 21.4
115 Buffalo 19.9
116 New Mexico 17.3
117 New Mexico St 15.9
118 Eastern Michigan 15.4
119 Memphis 13.3
120 Akron 11.5
FCS
1 Delaware 46.0
2 James Madison 44.0
3 Villanova 43.9
4 New Hampshire 42.6
5 William & Mary 42.6
6 Georgia Southern 38.6
7 Massachusetts 36.3
8 Appalachian St 35.8
9 Wofford 35.0
10 Rhode Island 33.2
11 Pennsylvania 32.0
12 Western Illinois 31.8
13 North Dakota St 31.3
14 Richmond 30.9
15 Maine 30.8
16 Montana St 30.7
17 Chattanooga 30.6
18 South Dakota St 30.4
19 Liberty 30.2
20 Elon 29.6
21 Eastern Washington 29.6
22 Furman 29.5
23 Northern Arizona 29.5
24 Jacksonville St 29.4
25 Sacramento St 28.4
26 Southern Utah 27.3
27 Northern Iowa 27.1
28 Montana 25.5
29 Eastern Kentucky 25.1
30 Lehigh 24.9
31 Southern Illinois 24.6
32 SE Missouri St 24.5
33 Stephen F. Austin 24.5
34 Old Dominion 24.4
35 Brown 24.4
36 Robert Morris 24.3
37 Missouri St 24.0
38 Samford 23.5
39 Harvard 23.4
40 Cal Poly SLO 23.3
41 Murray St 22.2
42 Youngstown St 22.2
43 South Dakota 22.0
44 Weber St 21.8
45 Indiana St 21.6
46 Dayton 21.6
47 North Dakota 21.2
48 McNeese St 21.1
49 Stony Brook 20.9
50 Coastal Carolina 20.6
51 Jacksonville FL 20.2
52 Illinois St 19.8
53 UC-Davis 19.8
54 Yale 19.7
55 Towson 19.6
56 Dartmouth 19.2
57 Albany NY 18.8
58 Bryant 18.4
59 Fordham 18.4
60 Duquesne 18.1
61 Monmouth NJ 17.9
62 Tennessee Tech 17.6
63 Central Conn St 17.5
64 Central Arkansas 17.3
65 Sam Houston St 16.7
66 Grambling St 16.5
67 Columbia 16.5
68 Tennessee-Martin 16.3
69 Northern Colorado 16.3
70 Texas St-San Marcos 16.3
71 Holy Cross 15.4
72 Colgate 15.4
73 Jackson St 15.4
74 Lafayette 14.8
75 SE Louisiana St 14.4
76 Bethune-Cookman 13.9
77 Portland St 13.9
78 Sacred Heart 13.3
79 Drake 13.0
80 Wagner 12.4
81 Texas Southern 12.2
82 South Carolina St 11.6
83 Eastern Illinois 11.4
84 Northwestern St 11.2
85 Lamar 10.9
86 The Citadel 10.6
87 Tennessee St 10.5
88 Georgetown DC 10.2
89 Prairie View A&M 10.0
90 Western Carolina 9.3
91 Idaho St 8.9
92 Gardner-Webb 8.6
93 San Diego 8.2
94 Alcorn St 7.5
95 Princeton 7.4
96 Nicholls St 6.6
97 Charleston Southern 6.3
98 Florida A&M 5.9
99 Alabama St 5.5
100 Cornell NY 5.4
101 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 5.3
102 St Francis PA 5.0
103 d2 4.9
104 Hampton 4.7
105 Campbell 4.4
106 VMI 4.4
107 Presbyterian 3.9
108 Marist 2.9
109 Morehead St 2.7
110 Butler 2.6
111 Bucknell 2.3
112 Austin Peay 2.3
113 Norfolk St 1.8
114 Alabama A&M 0.9
115 North Carolina Central - 0.0
116 Morgan St - 3.2
117 Delaware St - 3.3
118 Southern U. - 3.5
119 Davidson - 5.4
120 Howard - 8.8
121 North Carolina A&T - 9.3
122 Valparaiso - 14.2
123 Savannah St - 18.9
124 Mississippi Valley St - 20.6
With HFA at 3.1 Navy are 7 point favourites over army next week accoridng to this system.
Rank Team Pointspread Equivalent
1 Oregon 72.9
2 Boise St 64.8
3 TCU 62.9
4 Stanford 62.1
5 Auburn 61.2
6 Nevada 58.4
7 Alabama 57.9
8 Virginia Tech 57.5
9 Ohio State 57.0
10 Arkansas 56.9
11 Wisconsin 55.6
12 South Carolina 54.9
13 Nebraska 54.6
14 LSU 54.1
15 Arizona St 53.9
16 Oklahoma 53.7
17 Missouri 53.6
18 California 52.6
19 Southern Cal 52.5
20 Oregon St 52.1
21 Texas A&M 51.3
22 Iowa 51.1
23 Oklahoma St 50.6
24 Arizona 50.2
25 Michigan St 50.0
26 San Diego St 49.9
27 West Virginia 49.8
28 Florida St 49.2
29 Clemson 48.0
30 North Carolina St 47.8
31 Mississippi St 47.6
32 Miami FL 47.4
33 Hawai`i 47.4
34 Notre Dame 46.9
35 Air Force 46.7
36 Georgia 46.4
37 Pittsburgh 45.7
38 Utah 45.6
39 Florida 45.0
40 Kentucky 44.7
41 Illinois 43.8
42 Washington 43.8
43 Navy 43.5
44 North Carolina 43.5
45 Central Florida 42.4
46 Maryland 42.2
47 Texas 41.7
48 Georgia Tech 41.3
49 Washington St 41.2
50 Tennessee 41.1
51 Kansas St 41.1
52 Fresno St 41.0
53 Mississippi 41.0
54 Louisville 40.9
55 Connecticut 40.8
56 Northern Illinois 40.2
57 Texas Tech 40.0
58 Michigan 39.5
59 Tulsa 39.4
60 Boston College 39.4
61 South Florida 39.1
62 Brigham Young 38.9
63 Syracuse 38.8
64 Iowa St 38.7
65 Penn State 38.6
66 UCLA 38.6
67 Southern Miss 38.5
68 SMU 38.1
69 Colorado 37.7
70 Virginia 37.0
71 Cincinnati 36.6
72 Temple 36.4
73 Baylor 36.3
74 Northwestern 36.2
75 Minnesota 35.6
76 East Carolina 34.8
77 Troy 34.5
78 Utah St 34.4
79 Florida Int'l 34.3
80 Ohio U. 34.1
81 Purdue 33.7
82 Army 33.5
83 Duke 33.2
84 Louisiana Tech 32.8
85 Houston 32.7
86 Alabama-Birmingham 32.1
87 Rutgers 31.6
88 Idaho 31.5
89 Toledo 31.3
90 Miami OH 31.2
91 Arkansas St 30.6
92 Indiana 30.6
93 Central Michigan 30.0
94 UTEP 29.6
95 Marshall 28.8
96 Western Michigan 28.4
97 San José St 28.0
98 Vanderbilt 28.0
99 Wyoming 27.8
100 Kansas 27.7
101 Wake Forest 27.3
102 Kent St 27.0
103 Colorado St 26.7
104 Florida Atlantic 25.7
105 Middle Tennessee St 25.3
106 Bowling Green 25.0
107 Louisiana-Monroe 24.9
108 Rice 24.5
109 North Texas 22.7
110 Western Kentucky 22.3
111 Ball St 22.2
112 UNLV 21.8
113 Louisiana-Lafayette 21.6
114 Tulane 21.4
115 Buffalo 19.9
116 New Mexico 17.3
117 New Mexico St 15.9
118 Eastern Michigan 15.4
119 Memphis 13.3
120 Akron 11.5
FCS
1 Delaware 46.0
2 James Madison 44.0
3 Villanova 43.9
4 New Hampshire 42.6
5 William & Mary 42.6
6 Georgia Southern 38.6
7 Massachusetts 36.3
8 Appalachian St 35.8
9 Wofford 35.0
10 Rhode Island 33.2
11 Pennsylvania 32.0
12 Western Illinois 31.8
13 North Dakota St 31.3
14 Richmond 30.9
15 Maine 30.8
16 Montana St 30.7
17 Chattanooga 30.6
18 South Dakota St 30.4
19 Liberty 30.2
20 Elon 29.6
21 Eastern Washington 29.6
22 Furman 29.5
23 Northern Arizona 29.5
24 Jacksonville St 29.4
25 Sacramento St 28.4
26 Southern Utah 27.3
27 Northern Iowa 27.1
28 Montana 25.5
29 Eastern Kentucky 25.1
30 Lehigh 24.9
31 Southern Illinois 24.6
32 SE Missouri St 24.5
33 Stephen F. Austin 24.5
34 Old Dominion 24.4
35 Brown 24.4
36 Robert Morris 24.3
37 Missouri St 24.0
38 Samford 23.5
39 Harvard 23.4
40 Cal Poly SLO 23.3
41 Murray St 22.2
42 Youngstown St 22.2
43 South Dakota 22.0
44 Weber St 21.8
45 Indiana St 21.6
46 Dayton 21.6
47 North Dakota 21.2
48 McNeese St 21.1
49 Stony Brook 20.9
50 Coastal Carolina 20.6
51 Jacksonville FL 20.2
52 Illinois St 19.8
53 UC-Davis 19.8
54 Yale 19.7
55 Towson 19.6
56 Dartmouth 19.2
57 Albany NY 18.8
58 Bryant 18.4
59 Fordham 18.4
60 Duquesne 18.1
61 Monmouth NJ 17.9
62 Tennessee Tech 17.6
63 Central Conn St 17.5
64 Central Arkansas 17.3
65 Sam Houston St 16.7
66 Grambling St 16.5
67 Columbia 16.5
68 Tennessee-Martin 16.3
69 Northern Colorado 16.3
70 Texas St-San Marcos 16.3
71 Holy Cross 15.4
72 Colgate 15.4
73 Jackson St 15.4
74 Lafayette 14.8
75 SE Louisiana St 14.4
76 Bethune-Cookman 13.9
77 Portland St 13.9
78 Sacred Heart 13.3
79 Drake 13.0
80 Wagner 12.4
81 Texas Southern 12.2
82 South Carolina St 11.6
83 Eastern Illinois 11.4
84 Northwestern St 11.2
85 Lamar 10.9
86 The Citadel 10.6
87 Tennessee St 10.5
88 Georgetown DC 10.2
89 Prairie View A&M 10.0
90 Western Carolina 9.3
91 Idaho St 8.9
92 Gardner-Webb 8.6
93 San Diego 8.2
94 Alcorn St 7.5
95 Princeton 7.4
96 Nicholls St 6.6
97 Charleston Southern 6.3
98 Florida A&M 5.9
99 Alabama St 5.5
100 Cornell NY 5.4
101 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 5.3
102 St Francis PA 5.0
103 d2 4.9
104 Hampton 4.7
105 Campbell 4.4
106 VMI 4.4
107 Presbyterian 3.9
108 Marist 2.9
109 Morehead St 2.7
110 Butler 2.6
111 Bucknell 2.3
112 Austin Peay 2.3
113 Norfolk St 1.8
114 Alabama A&M 0.9
115 North Carolina Central - 0.0
116 Morgan St - 3.2
117 Delaware St - 3.3
118 Southern U. - 3.5
119 Davidson - 5.4
120 Howard - 8.8
121 North Carolina A&T - 9.3
122 Valparaiso - 14.2
123 Savannah St - 18.9
124 Mississippi Valley St - 20.6
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